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Oct 9, 2026

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2 min read

If You Own an Index Fund, You Own This Trade

AI spending flows to a handful of firms at the top. The pink slips go everywhere else. Check your exposure before next week.

Ray Calloway
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Oct 8, 2026

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2 min read

284 Million Barrels Left. At Current Use, That's 14 Days.

Brent crude crossed $100 last week and tanker attacks in the Strait of Hormuz are rising. The reserve that is supposed to calm that kind of shock is 60% empty.

Ray Calloway
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Oct 7, 2026

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2 min read

S&P 500 Companies Spent $943 Billion on Buybacks Last Year Instead of Paying You

Buybacks push the price up. They do not put a dime in your pocket. The boring option now pays five times more than the exciting one.

Ray Calloway
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Oct 6, 2026

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3 min read

America Hasn't Lost Faith in Institutions — Just the Ones Farthest Away

Your hardware store, the VFW down the road, the neighborhood diner — those still have the room's confidence. It's the marble-column crowd that lost it.

Ray Calloway
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Oct 5, 2026

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2 min read

Your House Has Been Your Best Investment. Your Grandkids Can't Make the Same Bet.

Mortgage rates just hit 7.28% for the sixth straight week, and that's only half the problem. The other half has been building since before your kids were born.

Ray Calloway
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Oct 2, 2026

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3 min read

Everyone Thinks 5% Yields Mean Something Is Broken. They Have It Backwards.

The broken era was 2008 to 2021, when the Fed pinned rates near zero and your savings account paid you almost nothing for being responsible.

Ray Calloway
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Oct 1, 2026

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3 min read

Your Driveway Knows More About Inflation Than Wall Street Does

Inflation came in at 3.4% yesterday and traders cheered because it beat forecasts. Today's chart shows what years of 3% to 4% actually cost a household."

Ray Calloway
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Sep 30, 2026

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1 min read

America Spends $2.9 Billion a Day More Than It Earns From the World

That money does not disappear. It shows up in bond yields, in the dollar, and eventually at the register.

Ray Calloway
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Sep 29, 2026

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2 min read

Your Bond Portfolio and Your HELOC Both Got Bad News This Week"

When rates rise after six straight cuts, the damage runs in two directions at once. Ray says to check one number before next month.

Ray Calloway
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Sep 28, 2026

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2 min read

Wall Street's 2026 Rate Forecast Was Not Just Wrong. It Was Backwards.

Futures traders were pricing in two more cuts as late as February. By September, the vote was 12 to 0 to hike instead. Here is what the consensus missed.

Ray Calloway
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Sep 25, 2026

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2 min read

China Owns 248,000 Acres of American Farmland. Canada Owns 16.1 Million.

Canada holds more than 50 times what China holds. That one number changes the whole argument at the dinner table.

Ray Calloway
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Sep 24, 2026

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2 min read

People Say Government Never Actually Shrinks. The 2025 Data Disagrees

A 42% drop in the Federal Register in a single year is either a rounding error or the biggest regulatory rollback in modern history. It is not a rounding error.

Ray Calloway
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