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Sep 9, 2026

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2 min read

Foreigners Used to Fund Half Our Debt. Not Anymore.

The Missing 18 Cents Is Coming Out of Your Pocket.

Ray Calloway
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Sep 8, 2026

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2 min read

Everyone Calls This a Real Estate Problem. It Isn't.

Office buildings are collateral for loans. Those loans live inside pension funds, bond funds, and insurance companies — and delinquencies just hit 12.3%, another all-time record.

Ray Calloway
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Sep 7, 2026

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3 min read

In January 2000, 67.3% of Working-Age Americans Were in the Labor Force. Today It's 61.6%.

The Fed may raise rates for the first time in three years on September 16. If your retirement plan assumes rates fall from here, that assumption is worth testing this week.

Ray Calloway
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Sep 4, 2026

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2 min read

The Top 1% Paid 38.4% of All Federal Income Taxes in 2023

The bottom 50% covered 3.3% of the bill. One group is 1% of all filers. The other is half the country."

Ray Calloway
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Sep 3, 2026

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3 min read

In 2023, AI Barely Showed up in Layoff Reports. Now It's the Leading Cause.

It went from 5% of all tracked job cuts in 2025 to 24% this year. The pace is not flattening.

Ray Calloway
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Sep 2, 2026

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2 min read

"September Is Bad for Stocks" Sounds Like Folklore. The 75-Year Record Says Otherwise.

The same 75-year record that makes September ugly makes November the best month of the year. Selling now means missing that.

Ray Calloway
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Sep 1, 2026

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3 min read

Your Grandkids Aren't Being Dramatic About Not Affording a House

When you bought, the price-to-income ratio was 3.5x. They're facing 5x — with a 30-year mortgage already sitting at 6.66%.

Ray Calloway
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Aug 31, 2026

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3 min read

Florida Gained $196 Billion in Taxable Income. New York Lost $111 Billion. Same Decade.

New York, California, and Illinois were the losers. Florida and Texas were the winners. The 2030 census projection makes this decade look like a warm-up.

Ray Calloway
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Aug 29, 2026

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2 min read

The Fed Talks 2% Inflation. The Car Lot Has Its Own Number.

When a working family needs a six- or seven-year loan to replace a 12-year-old sedan, they aren't reading PCE reports. They already know what inflation did.

Ray Calloway
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Aug 28, 2026

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2 min read

The 30-Year Yield Is at a 19-Year High — After Six Fed Rate Cuts

New Fed Chair Kevin Warsh delivers his first major speech at Jackson Hole today. Bond traders will hang on every word, but today's chart already said it plainly.

Ray Calloway
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Aug 27, 2026

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3 min read

Canada Runs 4% of America's Trade Deficit. It Just Got a 50% Tariff.

A $46 billion deficit on $880 billion in two-way trade is about as close to balanced as international trade gets. Today's chart puts that in plain sight.

Ray Calloway
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Aug 26, 2026

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3 min read

How Much of Your Retirement Is Sitting in Dollars That Buy Less Every Year?

From 1980 to 2000, gold fell while governments spent responsibly. Then the spending took off. The chart since then is really a chart of the dollar.

Ray Calloway
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